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40–20 rule

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Phil Jackson

The 40–20 rule posits that an NBA team must win 40 games before losing 20 to have a chance at winning that year's championship.[1][2] It was first publicized by 11-time NBA champion head coach Phil Jackson in 2008.[3][4] Ever since the NBA added the three-point line in the 1979-80 season, 41 out of 45 NBA champions have abided by the 40-20 rule; the four exceptions were the 1994–95 Houston Rockets, 2003–04 Detroit Pistons, 2005–06 Miami Heat, and the 2020–21 Milwaukee Bucks.[5]

40-20 rule by season

[edit]
Updated through 2024 season
Includes seasons since addition of 3-point line in 1979-80 season
^ Won championship despite violating 40-20 rule
Shortened season (not full 82 game schedule)
Season Champion Record at 40th win
1980 Los Angeles Lakers 40-17
1981 Boston Celtics 40-9
1982 Los Angeles Lakers 40-17
1983 Philadelphia 76ers 40-6
1984 Boston Celtics 40-12
1985 Los Angeles Lakers 40-16
1986 Boston Celtics 40-9
1987 Los Angeles Lakers 40-13
1988 Los Angeles Lakers 40-9
1989 Detroit Pistons 40-16
1990 Detroit Pistons 40-15
1991 Chicago Bulls 40-14
1992 Chicago Bulls 40-9
1993 Chicago Bulls 40-17
1994 Houston Rockets 40-15
1995 Houston Rockets ^ 40-25
1996 Chicago Bulls 40-3
1997 Chicago Bulls 40-5
1998 Chicago Bulls 40-15
1999 † San Antonio Spurs 37-13
2000 Los Angeles Lakers 40-11
2001 Los Angeles Lakers 40-19
2002 Los Angeles Lakers 40-17
2003 San Antonio Spurs 40-17
2004 Detroit Pistons ^ 40-25
2005 San Antonio Spurs 40-11
2006 Miami Heat ^ 40-20
2007 San Antonio Spurs 40-18
2008 Boston Celtics 40-9
2009 Los Angeles Lakers 40-9
2010 Los Angeles Lakers 40-13
2011 Dallas Mavericks 40-16
2012 † Miami Heat 40-15
2013 Miami Heat 40-14
2014 San Antonio Spurs 40-15
2015 Golden State Warriors 40-9
2016 Cleveland Cavaliers 40-14
2017 Golden State Warriors 40-7
2018 Golden State Warriors 40-10
2019 Toronto Raptors 40-16
2020 † Los Angeles Lakers 40-12
2021 † Milwaukee Bucks ^ 32-20
2022 Golden State Warriors 40-13
2023 Denver Nuggets 40-18
2024 Boston Celtics 40-12

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Zeglinski, Robert (February 29, 2024). "History says only these 4 NBA teams have a realistic chance of winning the championship, according to Phil Jackson". For the Win. USA Today. Retrieved February 26, 2025.
  2. ^ McIntyre, Jason (March 6, 2024). "Best NBA futures bets to make now, including Celtics, Lakers and Heat". FOX Sports. Fox Corporation. Retrieved February 26, 2025.
  3. ^ Moskowitz, Nate (February 22, 2025). "The Boston Celtics are contenders once again". SB Nation. SB Nation. Retrieved March 11, 2025.
  4. ^ Murray, Law (April 20, 2021). "Clippers shoot their way into '40 before 20' contender status". The Athletic. New York Times. Retrieved February 26, 2025.
  5. ^ Zeglinski, Robert (February 24, 2025). "Phil Jackson's old rule says these 3 NBA teams are the only serious contenders for the 2025 title". For the Win. USA Today. Retrieved February 26, 2025.