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Next Jamaican general election

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Next Jamaican general election
← 2020 By November 2025
All 63 seats in the House of Representatives
32 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Andrew Holness Mark Golding
Party JLP PNP
Last election 57.07%, 49 seats 42.76%, 14 seats
Current seats 49 14 seats
Seats needed Steady Increase 18
Incumbent Prime Minister

Andrew Holness
JLP



General elections are scheduled to be held in Jamaica by 2025.

Background

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Minister of Legal and Constitutional Affairs Marlene Malahoo Forte said that Jamaica would transition to being a Republic before the next general election.[1]

Timeline

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Electoral system

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The 63 members of the House of Representatives are elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting.[3] Voters must be 18 years and over and be a citizen of Jamaica or a Commonwealth citizen.[4]

The leader of the party commanding a majority of support in the House of Representatives is called on by the Governor General to form a government as Prime Minister,[5] while the leader of the largest group or coalition not in government becomes the Leader of the Opposition.[6]

Members not seeking re-election

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Member Constituency Party First elected Date announced
Lisa Hanna Saint Ann South Eastern People's National Party 2007 9 August 2022[7]

Opinion polls

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Date Pollster Sample
size 		JLP PNP Other[a] Non-voting Lead
27 September – 3 October 2024 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[8] 1,012 43.5 56.5 – – 13
6 – 19 September 2024 Nationwide/Bluedot poll[9] 1,246 53 47 – – 6
June 2024 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[10] – 44.0 56 – – 12
4 – 12 April 2024 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[11] 1,057 44.1 55.9 – – 11.8
26 February 2024 2024 Jamaican local elections – 47.8 51.8 0.6 – 4
24 November – 7 December 2023 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[12] 1,015 22 25 18 35 3
17 – 26 February 2023 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[13] 1,002 27.9 28.1 19 25 0.2
13 September 2022 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[14] - 31 18 17 34 13
22 September 2021 RJR Gleaner Group/Don Anderson poll[15] 1,003 26 15 26 31 11
3 September 2020 2020 general election – 57.1 42.8 0.1 – 14.3

Notes

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  1. ^ Includes "Don't Know/Unsure"

References

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  1. ^ "Jamaica to transition to republic status by next general election —Malahoo Forte". Jamaica Observer. 2022-06-07. Retrieved 2023-01-11.
  2. ^ "Dalrymple-Philibert confident in JLP councillor-candidates for Trelawny Southern". The Gleaner. 2024-02-09. Retrieved 2024-02-12.
  3. ^ "Electoral System". Inter-Parliamentary Union.
  4. ^ "Registration Procedures". Electoral Commission of Jamaica. Archived from the original on 5 March 2020. Retrieved 7 September 2020.
  5. ^ "The Executive". Jamaica Information Service. Archived from the original on 5 September 2020. Retrieved 7 September 2020.
  6. ^ "The Opposition". Jamaica Information Service. Archived from the original on 26 August 2020. Retrieved 7 September 2020.
  7. ^ "Why Lisa Hanna is leaving representational politics". The Gleaner. 2022-08-09. Retrieved 2023-04-04.
  8. ^ @AmericaElige (November 25, 2024). "Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  9. ^ @AmericaElige (November 25, 2024). "Jamaica, Nationwide/Bluedot poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  10. ^ @AmericaElige (August 2, 2024). "Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  11. ^ @AmericaElige (May 15, 2024). "Jamaica, RJRGLEANER/Don Anderson poll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  12. ^ "PNP holds lead". jamaica-gleaner.com. 2023-12-22. Retrieved 2024-01-05.
  13. ^ "Dead heat". jamaica-gleaner.com. 2023-03-12. Retrieved 2023-03-25.
  14. ^ "JLP in lead". The Gleaner. 2022-09-13. Retrieved 2023-03-25.
  15. ^ "Poll: JLP now nine percentage points ahead of PNP". The Gleaner. 2021-09-22. Retrieved 2023-01-11.
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