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2019–20 Croatian presidential election

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2019–20 Croatian presidential election
← 2014–15 22 December 2019 (first round)
5 January 2020 (second round)		 2024 →
Turnout51.18% (first round), 54.99% (second round)
 
Nominee Zoran Milanović Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović
Party SDP Independent (HDZ)[a]
Popular vote 1,034,170 929,707
Percentage 52.66% 47.34%
President before election

Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović
Independent[a]

Elected President

Zoran Milanović
Social Democratic Party

Presidential elections were held in Croatia on 22 December 2019. Social Democratic Party nominee Zoran Milanović narrowly defeated incumbent president Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović in a second round of voting.

As no candidate received a majority of all votes (including blank, invalid and uncast ballots), a second round took place on 5 January 2020 between the two candidates with the highest number of votes in the first round. They were the seventh presidential elections since the first direct ones were held in 1992.

The decision to call the elections was made by the Croatian Government during its session on 14 November 2019.[2] Potential candidates were required to gather at least 10,000 signatures from Croatian citizens who have reached the age of 18 in order for their candidacy to become official and for their name to appear on the ballot. They were allocated a time frame of 12 days to accomplish this and thus had until midnight local time on 3 December 2019 to present their signatures to the State Electoral Commission. A total of twelve candidates submitted signatures by the deadline and the commission then proceeded to verify the signatures within the following 48 hours, presenting a final list of eleven approved candidates on 5 December 2019.[3][4]

In the first round of the election, which was held on 22 December 2019, former prime minister Zoran Milanović finished in first place with a relative majority of 29.55% of all votes cast. He was followed closely by incumbent president Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović, who received 26.65% of the vote, and by Miroslav Škoro, who acquired 24.45% of the vote. As no candidate managed to reach the required percentage of the vote to win outright in the first round, a run-off election took place on 5 January 2020 between the two candidates with the most votes in the first round: Milanović and Grabar-Kitarović. Zoran Milanović won the second round with 52.66% of the vote and was thus elected the 5th President of Croatia since its independence in 1991, while Grabar-Kitarović became the second (consecutive) Croatian president not to have been reelected for a second term, after Ivo Josipović (2010-2015). Furthermore, the number of votes received by Zoran Milanović, in regard to both the first (562,783) and the second (1,034,170) round of the election, is the lowest of any victorious presidential candidate to date. On the other hand, the number of votes (507,628) and the percentage of the vote (26.65%) acquired by Grabar-Kitarović in the first round is the lowest for any Croatian president.

Background

[edit]
Politics of Croatia
Coat of arms
Constitution
Executive
Legislative
Judiciary
Political parties in Sabor
Elections and referendums
Recent elections

Recent referendums

Administrative divisions
Foreign relations

The incumbent president of Croatia, Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović, took office on 19 February 2015 and her term is due to end on 18 February 2020.[5] The presidential term of Zoran Milanović is due to begin on 19 February 2020 and end on 18 February 2025.

Electoral system

[edit]

The president of Croatia is directly elected by secret ballot to a term of 5 years using a two-round system. The Constitution of Croatia requires that a presidential election be held no sooner than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the expiration of the incumbent president's term. An absolute majority (50% + 1 vote) of all votes cast (including invalid, blank and uncast ballots) is required to win in the first round. If no candidate acquires such a majority, a second-round is to be held in 14 days' time, with the two candidates with the highest number of votes in the first round taking part. The candidate who acquires the highest number of votes in the second round (a majority of valid cast votes) is declared the winner. If one of the candidates who has won a high enough number of votes to take part in the second round were to abandon his candidacy or die, the candidate with the next highest number of votes in the first round will earn the right to take part in the second round. Furthermore, Croatian presidents may serve a maximum of two 5-year terms in their lifetime (a total of 10 years if both terms are won and served out in full).[6]

In order for a potential candidate to be legally allowed to contest the election and have their name placed on the ballot, they must gather at least 10,000 signatures from eligible voters, with every such signatory being permitted to give his signature of support to only one potential candidate. The time frame for collecting the said number of signatures is set at 12 days, and after the expiry of this period potential candidates must submit them to the State Electoral Commission for verification.[7]

Candidates

[edit]

On 5 December, the State Electoral Commission published a list of 11 candidates.[8]

Candidate Party affiliation Political remarks Proof of nomination
Nedjeljko Babić Croatian Party of all Chakavians, Kajkavians and Shtokavians The candidate of a regional party, the Croatian Party of all Chakavians, Kajkavians and Shtokavians (HSSČKŠ). His bid was announced on 26 September. Submitted some 14,000 signatures on 30 November.[9]
Anto Đapić Democratic Alliance for National Renewal Đapić is nominated as the candidate of a right-wing party, the Democratic Alliance for National Renewal (DESNO). His bid was announced on 18 September.[10] Declared himself the only true hard-right candidate.[11] Formerly an MP (1992–2009) and the Mayor of Osijek (2005–2007, 2009), previously ran in the 2000 election as the candidate of the Croatian Party of Rights, finishing in 5th place in the first round. Submitted some 13,000 signatures on 2 December.[12]
Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović (runner-up) Independent[a] Incumbent President of Croatia since 2015. Grabar-Kitarović is standing for re-election to a second and final term. Although formally independent, she was nominated by the ruling Croatian Democratic Union and is supported by three other centrist to right-wing parties (HSP AS, BM 365, and HDS).[11][13] She is running on a centre-right platform. Her bid was announced on 8 August.[14] Submitted some 231,000 signatures on 3 December.[15]
Dario Juričan
(legal name is Milan Bandić) 		Independent Filmmaker born as Dario Juričan. In 2019, he legally changed his name to that which is identical to the name of the incumbent Mayor of Zagreb, Milan Bandić.[16] His bid was announced on 18 September and is running on an anti-Milan Bandić satirical platform.[17] Submitted some 13,000 signatures on 3 December.[18]
Mislav Kolakušić Independent Former judge and independent Member of the European Parliament for Croatia. His bid was announced on 27 May.[19] He is running as an anti-establishment independent candidate,[20] focusing on anti-corruption and smaller government policies.[11] Submitted some 15,000 signatures on 29 November.[21]
Dejan Kovač Croatian Social Liberal Party An economist at the Princeton University.[22] Kovač is a candidate of the centre to centre-right Croatian Social Liberal Party (HSLS), although he is not their member. His bid was announced on 4 August. Submitted some 16,000 signatures on 1 December.[23]
Zoran Milanović (winner) Social Democratic Party Candidate of the biggest opposition party, the centre-left Social Democratic Party (SDP), and is supported by 12 other centre-left, green and liberal parties (HSS, HSU, PGS, NS-R, Democrats, IDS, HL, SU, Glas, MDS, SNAGA, ZS, ORaH). His bid was announced on 17 June.[24] Former Prime Minister of Croatia (2011–2016) and the president of SDP (2007–2016). Submitted some 78,000 signatures on 26 November.[25]
Dalija Orešković Independent Orešković was nominated as an independent candidate, although she leads the Party of Anti-corruption, Development and Transparency (START). Her bid was announced on 7 July 2019. In 2018, she had initially publicly stated that she wouldn't run in the election.[26] She is running on an anti-corruption platform.[11] Former Chair of Conflicts of Interest Committee of the Croatian Parliament (2013–2018). Submitted some 11,000 signatures on 3 December.[27]
Katarina Peović Workers' Front Peović was nominated by her own party, the left-wing Workers' Front, and is supported by the Socialist Labour Party.[28][29] Running on a democratic socialist platform.[30] Her bid was announced on 18 December 2018. Formerly a member of the Zagreb Assembly (2018). Submitted some 14,000 signatures on 3 December.[31]
Ivan Pernar Party of Ivan Pernar Currently a member of the Croatian Parliament. Pernar was nominated by his own party, which bears his name. Running on a populist platform. He announced his intention to run on 7 June 2019 and officially launched a candidacy on 21 June 2019.[32][33] Submitted some 15,000 signatures on 3 December.[34]
Miroslav Škoro.jpg
 Miroslav Škoro Independent Popular folk musician and formerly a member of the Croatian Parliament (2008). Running as an independent candidate, supported by right-wing and anti-establishment parties.[20] His bid is endorsed by HKS, Hrast, UHD, Most, Green List[35] and was announced on 23 June.[36] Submitted some 70,000 signatures on 3 December.[37]

Withdrawn bids

[edit]
  • Vlaho Orepić withdrew on 2 December. He had initially scheduled the submission of his signatures of endorsement to the State Electoral Commission for 3 December 2019, however after having managed to collect only 8,054 signatures by the evening of 2 December, he determined that he would be unlikely to reach the required quota of 10,000 signatures by the set deadline and he thus withdrew his candidacy.[38] He is a member of the Croatian Parliament (2017–) and the former Minister of the Interior (2016–2017). He had announced his bid on 11 July.
  • Tomislav Panenić withdrew on 3 December.[39] He is a current member of the Croatian Parliament (2016–) and the former Minister of Economy (2016). His bid was announced on 26 June.
  • Ante Simonić withdrew on 3 December.[39] He is a former Deputy Prime Minister of Croatia, having served in the Second Račan cabinet. He has announced his bid on 14 July 2019.

Failed candidacies

[edit]

These individuals failed to submit the required number of endorsement signatures.

  • Slobodan Midžić, a perennial potential candidate who submitted just one signature of endorsement to the State Electoral Commission on 3 December 2019.[40] He had previously unsuccessfully attempted to become an official candidate in the 2009 and the 2014 elections.
  • Josip Juretić, an activist. His bid was announced on 7 September.[41]
  • Ivan Rude, a lawyer from Šibenik. His bid was announced on 16 September.[42]
  • Ava Karabatić, a TV personality, singer, and model from Zadar. Her bid was announced on 30 September. Subsequently, she endorsed Zoran Milanović.[citation needed]
  • David Lucijan Rožman, a student. His bid was announced on 1 October.
  • Antun Babić, a former deputy chief of mission-minister plenipotentiary in the Croatian embassy in Ireland.[43] His bid was announced on 14 February 2019[44]
  • Goran Jurišić, a member of HSP 1861. His bid was announced on 3 January 2019.[45]
  • Marko Vučetić, a member of the Croatian Parliament (2016 onwards). His bid was announced on 14 November 2018.[46]
  • Ante Pavlović, controversial charismatic Croatian self-proclaimed chiropractor and martial arts expert.[47]

Declined to be candidates

[edit]

These individuals have been the subject of presidential speculation, but have publicly denied or recanted interest in running for president.

Campaign

[edit]

First round

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović
Mislav Kolakušić
Zoran Milanović
Katarina Peović
Miroslav Škoro

Debates

[edit]

After official validation of candidates by the State Electoral Commission, the first debate was a confrontation between Katarina Peović (RF and SRP) and Anto Đapić (Democratic Alliance for National Renewal), the most left-wing and the most-right wing candidate respectively, which was filmed by and broadcast on N1 television on 5 December 2019.[65]

On 17 December, the Croatian Radiotelevision held the general debate with all 11 candidates participated.[66] It was the only debate where all first-round candidates participated.

Second round

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Zoran Milanović
Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović

Debates

[edit]

On 30 December, RTL held the first general debate with two second round candidates participated.[67] Croatian Radiotelevision held the second debate on 2 January 2020.[68] The third and final general debate was held on Nova TV on 3 January.[69]

Opinion polls

[edit]

First round

[edit]

Polls conducted after the official start of the campaign

Date Polling Firm Grabar-Kitarović Milanović Škoro Kolakušić Juričan Orešković Pernar Peović Kovač Đapić Babić Undecided / none Lead
22 Dec 2019 Exit poll 25,63 28,69 24,26 6,23 4,77 3,39 2,78 1,11 1,07 0,37 0,45 - 3,06
20 Dec 2019 IPSOS PULS 24,2 24,3 18,0 5,5 3,3 2,8 3,4 1,4 2,3 1,1 0,0 13,6 0,1
20 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 27,9 26,7 19,3 6,8 1,8 2,9 3,1 0,9 2,2 0,4 0,2 7,7 1,2
19 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 28,3 26,6 20,7 7,6 1,5 2,4 2,8 0,9 2,6 0,4 0,4 5,9 1,7
19 Dec 2019 2x1 komunikacije 25,3 26,0 23,8 6,1 1,3 1,0 1,2 1,1 0,9 1,2 0,4 11,7 0,7
11 Dec 2019 2x1 komunikacije 24,1 25,2 22,5 10,6 1,2 1,4 2,5 0,9 1,1 1,8 0,2 8,5 1,1
10 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 26,8 25,4 21,0 10,6 0,9 2,6 1,9 0,9 1,5 0,4 0,3 7,9 1,4
7 Dec 2019 2x1 komunikacije 26,0 29,0 21,9 11,0 - - - - - - - - 3,0
6 Dec 2019 IPSOS PULS 27,4 24,0 23,0 8,2 1,2 1,3 2,9 0,2 2,6 0,2 0,5 8,0 3,4
Polls conducted before the official start of the campaign
Date Polling Firm Grabar-
Kitarović 		Milanović Škoro Kolakušić Pernar Orešković Panenić Peović Bandić Esih Sinčić Petrov Vučetić Jurišić Mesić Mrak-
Taritaš 		Others Don't
know 		Lead
25 Nov 2019 IPSOS PULS 32,4 21,9 17,3 7,4 3,0 3,1 - - - - - - - - - - 3,3 7,9 10,5
20 Nov 2019 Promocija plus 28,9 26,4 17,6 12,1 2,1 2,3 - - - - - - - - - - 1,8 5,0 2,5
17 Nov 2019 2x1 komunikacije 27,7 25,1 20,5 9,3 1,2 - - - - - - - - - - - - 13,4 2,6
11 Nov 2019 Promocija plus 28,6 24,3 16,7 14,0 1,3 2,5 - 0,3 - - - - - - - - 1,0 6,1 4,3
28 Oct 2019 2x1 komunikacije 27,1 27,6 21,0 5,9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 13,2 0,5
26 Oct 2019 IPSOS PULS 34,5 24,9 18,3 5,1 4,0 2,9 - - - - - - - - - - 4,6 4,1 9,6
20 Oct 2019 Promocija plus 29,8 25,8 19,1 7,1 1,9 2,6 - - - - - - - - - - 1,9 6,7 4,0
7 Oct 2019 Promocija plus 29,8 25,6 19,1 6,4 1,6 1,9 - 0,6 - - - - - - - - 2,0 6,2 4,2
1 Oct 2019 David Lucijan Rožman (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
30 Sep 2019 Ava Karabatić (Ind.) officially announces her candidacy.
26 Sep 2019 Nedjeljko Babić (HSSČKŠ) officially announces his candidacy.
25 Sep 2019 IPSOS PULS 34,3 23,9 20,2 6,2 3,7 3,3 - - - - - - - - - - 4,4 2,2 10,4
21 Sep 2019 Promocija plus 28,5 24,8 18,2 8,6 2,7 2,6 0,5 0,5 - - - - - - - - 1,9 7,1 3,7
20 Sep 2019 2x1 komunikacije 29,2 28,5 17,5 4,6 1,3 - - - - - - - - - - - - 14,8 0,7
18 Sep 2019 Anto Đapić (DESNO) officially announces his candidacy.
18 Sep 2019 Dario Juričan (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
16 Sep 2019 Ivan Rude (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
9 Sep 2019 Promocija plus 30,2 25,5 19,2 9,3 2,0 2,3 0,7 0,7 - - - - - - - - 1,5 4,6 4,7
7 Sep 2019 Josip Juretić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
24 Aug 2019 2x1 komunikacije 25,7 25,9 20,9 7,4 2,5 0,9 - 0,1 - - - - - - - - - 15,2 0,2
23 Aug 2019 IPSOS PULS 34,6 24,6 18,0 6,4 3,9 3,4 - - - - - - - - - - 4,4 4,7 10,0
8 Aug 2019 Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović (HDZ) officially announces her candidacy.
5 Aug 2019 Promocija plus 29,3 24,8 18,5 12,0 3,0 1,4 0,5 0,9 - - - - - - - - 2,0 7,6 4,5
4 Aug 2019 Dejan Kovač (HSLS) officially announces his candidacy.
26 Jul 2019 IPSOS PULS 32,8 23,4 19,9 7,1 4,5 - - - - - - - - - - - 7,4 4,9 9,4
15 Jul 2019 2x1 komunikacije 28,1 23,6 20,9 6,2 2,3 1,1 0,6 0,3 - - - - - - - - - 17,0 4,5
14 Jul 2019 Ante Simonić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
11 Jul 2019 Vlaho Orepić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
8 Jul 2019 Promocija plus 30,0 22,3 17,8 13,9 2,8 - 1,5 2,1 - - - - - - - - 2,4 7,2 7,7
7 Jul 2019 Dalija Orešković (Ind.) officially announces her candidacy.
28 Jun 2019 IPSOS PULS 37,1 31,0 19,5 6,4 3,1 2,8 6,1
27 Jun 2019 Tomislav Panenić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
23 Jun 2019 Miroslav Škoro (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
21 Jun 2019 Ivan Pernar (SIP) officially announces his candidacy.
18 Jun 2019 2x1 komunikacije 32,0 22,0 10,3 10,2 0,7 2,6 0,8 0,2 21,6 10,0
17 Jun 2019 Zoran Milanović (SDP) officially announces his candidacy.
10 Jun 2019 Promocija plus 34,5 19,8 13,8 13,1 1,9 3,3 3,3 10,9 14,7
27 May 2019 Mislav Kolakušić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
21 May 2019 Promocija plus 34,7 18,5 9,4 6,7 6,0 4,0 3,7 9,2 16,2
9 May 2019 Promocija plus 35,3 15,4 9,9 3,5 2,8 7,5 3,2 3,7 8,4 19,9
22 Apr 2019 Promocija plus 35,6 18,3 4,9 9,5 3,5 3,3 5,2 3,7 2,1 8,9 17,3
8 Apr 2019 Promocija plus 34,5 16,4 10,7 4,4 5,7 4,2 3,3 5,9 18,1
22 Mar 2019 Promocija plus 34,2 19,4 5,2 9,2 3,9 6,3 4,0 1,9 5,3 14,8
7 Mar 2019 Promocija plus 32,6 19,7 12,5 4,2 4,9 4,4 0,9 12,9
14 Feb 2019 Antun Babić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.
7 Feb 2019 Promocija plus 37,0 19,6 12,3 4,5 3,9 4,5 4,2 1,2 4,4 17,4
10 Jan 2019 Promocija plus 38,0 17,6 12,0 4,5 4,1 7,9 6,2 1,7 20,4
03 Jan 2019 Goran Jurišić (HSP 1861) officially announces his candidacy.[45]
18 Dec 2018 Katarina Peović (RF) officially announces her candidacy.[28]
07 Dec 2018 Promocija plus 41,1 18,1 11,2 4,2 8,9 5,3 23
14 Nov 2018 Marko Vučetić (Ind.) officially announces his candidacy.[46]
25 Apr 2018 2x1 komunikacije 45,8 20,5 1,4 15,7 11,7 25,3
16 Mar 2018 2x1 komunikacije 46,4 26,5 12,2 11,4 19,9
03 Feb 2018 Promocija plus 43,5 22,0 11,9 6,6 5,9 10,1 21,5
17-18 Jan 2018 IPSOS PULS 41,0 21,0 15,0 12,0 5,0 6,0 20,0

Second round

[edit]

Polls conducted after the first round

Date Agency Milanović Grabar-
Kitarović 		Undecided/
Neither 		Lead
5 Jan 2020 Exit poll 53,22 46,78 - 6,44
3 Jan 2020 IPSOS PULS 45 42 13 3
3 Jan 2020 2x1 komunikacije 50,7 49,3 N/A 1,4
31 Dec 2019 2x1 komunikacije 40,0 38,9 21,2 1,1
24 Dec 2019 IPSOS PULS 48,4 41,1 10,4 7,3
Hypothetical polling

Polls conducted after the official start of the campaign

Date Polling Firm Grabar-Kitarović Milanović Undecided Lead Grabar-Kitarović Škoro Undecided Lead Milanović Škoro Undecided Lead
20 Dec 2019 IPSOS PULS 43,1 40,9 5,0 2,2 38,2 36,2 5,8 2,0 37,5 47,0 4,9 9,5
20 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 49,0 45,9 5,1 3,1 45,9 46,6 7,5 0,7 45,9 47,5 6,6 1,6
19 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 49,0 46,9 4,1 2,1 45,1 48,7 6,2 3,6 44,6 50,2 5,2 6,4
10 Dec 2019 Promocija plus 48,3 47,6 4,1 0,7 45,2 50,0 4,8 4,8 43,5 52,9 3,6 9,4
6 Dec 2019 IPSOS PULS 44,2 39,2 5,8 5,0 34,4 45,2 5,7 10,8 36,9 47,1 5,7 12,2

Opinion polls

Date Polling Firm Grabar-
Kitarović 		Milanović Undecided Lead Grabar-
Kitarović 		Škoro Undecided Lead Milanović Škoro Undecided Lead Grabar-
Kitarović 		Orešković Undecided Lead
25 Nov 2019 IPSOS PULS 53,2 33,3 4,8 19,9 44,6 37,9 6,1 6,7 35,3 47,7 5,7 12,4 - - - -
21 Nov 2019 Promocija plus 49,2 46,1 4,7 3,2 46,7 44,1 9,2 2,6 46,0 49,8 4,3 3,8 - - - -
11 Nov 2019 Promocija plus 51,8 44,5 3,7 7,3 49,2 45,6 5,1 3,6 46,3 49,6 4,1 3,3 - - - -
26 Oct 2019 IPSOS PULS 51,3 37,9 4,2 13,4 45,4 38,2 5,0 7,2 38,8 48,6 3,6 9,8 - - - -
21 Oct 2019 Promocija plus 49,0 44,1 6,9 4,9 49,4 44,0 6,6 5,4 46,2 49,5 4,4 3,3 - - - -
7 Oct 2019 Promocija plus 50,8 44,9 4,3 5,9 48,4 42,3 9,2 6,1 45,8 49,8 4,4 4,0 - - - -
25 Sep 2019 IPSOS PULS 51,5 36,0 5,2 15,5 45,8 36,8 6,0 9,0 38,2 47,8 5,0 9,6 - - - -
22 Sep 2019 Promocija plus 52,3 43,2 4,5 9,1 49,2 41,6 9,2 7,6 45,4 49,4 5,2 4,0 - - - -
9 Sep 2019 Promocija plus 52,7 42,8 4,5 9,9 51,3 41,4 7,3 9,9 45,1 49,7 5,2 4,6 - - - -
23 Aug 2019 IPSOS PULS 51,1 36,6 5,1 14,5 46,1 36,5 5,9 9,6 38,9 46,9 4,9 8,0 - - - -
5 Aug 2019 Promocija plus 53,1 42,4 4,5 10,7 50,0 44,9 5,1 5,1 46,5 47,9 5,6 1,4 - - - -
26 Jul 2019 IPSOS PULS 53,0 37,2 4,3 15,8 46,1 37,7 5,1 8,4 38,7 48,6 5,8 9,9 - - - -
8 Jul 2019 Promocija plus 53,9 41,7 4,4 12,2 53,9 38,1 8,0 15,8 44,4 51,6 4,0 7,2 - - - -
28 Jun 2019 IPSOS PULS 56,1 35,9 3,8 20,2 50,2 35,5 5,1 14,7 41,1 48,6 3,8 7,5 - - - -
10 June 2019 Promocija plus 54,8 38,9 6,3 15,9 57,0 35,4 7,6 21,6 - - - - - - - -
21 May 2019 Promocija plus 53,9 39,2 6,9 14,7 - - - - - - - - - - - -
9 May 2019 Promocija plus 56,5 37,2 6,3 19,3 - - - - - - - - 54,3 39,4 6,2 14,9
22 Apr 2019 Promocija plus 53,2 40,3 6,5 12,9 - - - - - - - - - - - -
8 Apr 2019 Promocija plus 55,4 38,6 6,0 16,8 - - - - - - - - 51,8 41,6 6,6 10,2
22 Mar 2019 Promocija plus 52,6 38,8 8,5 13,8
7 Mar 2019 Promocija plus 52,9 40,8 6,3 12,1
7 Feb 2019 Promocija plus 54,3 40,2 5,5 14,1
10 Jan 2019 Promocija plus 54,6 37,9 7,5 16,7
7 Dec 2018 Promocija plus 55,4 35,7 9,0 19,7

Results

[edit]

The first round of the election took place on 22 December 2019, with former Social Democratic Prime Minister Zoran Milanović winning by a plurality of 29.55% of the vote, ahead of conservative incumbent President Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović, who received 26.65% of the vote.[70] The conservative folk musician and former Member of Parliament Miroslav Škoro, who was running as an independent candidate, narrowly failed to reach the run-off election, managing to attract the support of 24.45% of voters.[70] This marked the first time in Croatian history that the incumbent president did not receive the highest number of votes in the first round.[citation needed] Also, Grabar-Kitarović attained both the lowest number of votes (507,626) and the lowest percentage of votes of any Croatian president competing in either of the two rounds of elections.[citation needed] Milanović received both the lowest number of votes (562,779) and the lowest percentage of the vote of any first-place candidate in the first round of a presidential election.[citation needed] Škoro received the highest number of votes (465,703) for a third-placed candidate since Mate Granić (HDZ) in the 2000 elections and the highest-ever percentage of the vote for a candidate who did not advance to the run-off. Milanović received a plurality of the vote in Croatia's three largest cities; 33.02% in Zagreb, 30.79% in Split and 41.87% in Rijeka, and finished second (25.61%) in the fourth largest city, Osijek, which was won by Škoro (33.33%). Grabar-Kitarović came in second in Split and Rijeka, and third in Zagreb and Osijek.[71]

A run-off was held between Milanović and Grabar-Kitarović on 5 January 2020. Milanović won by just over 104,000 votes, becoming the fifth President of Croatia since independence and the second to have been officially nominated by the Social Democratic Party, after Ivo Josipović (2010–2015). Furthermore, Milanović received a majority of the vote in seven counties and in the City of Zagreb, while Grabar-Kitarović defeated him among voters living in thirteen counties and among the members of the Croatian diaspora. However, Milanović defeated Grabar-Kitarović in all four major cities: Zagreb (by around 74,000 votes), Split (by around 3,000 votes), Rijeka (by around 20,000 votes) and Osijek (by around 1,000 votes).[72]

CandidatePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Zoran MilanovićSocial Democratic Party562,78329.911,034,17052.66
Kolinda Grabar-KitarovićIndependent (Croatian Democratic Union)[a]507,62826.98929,70747.34
Miroslav ŠkoroIndependent465,70424.75
Mislav KolakušićIndependent111,9165.95
Dario JuričanIndependent87,8834.67
Dalija OreškovićIndependent55,1632.93
Ivan PernarParty of Ivan Pernar44,0572.34
Katarina PeovićWorkers' Front21,3871.14
Dejan KovačCroatian Social Liberal Party18,1070.96
Anto ĐapićDemocratic Alliance for National Renewal [hr]4,0010.21
Nedjeljko BabićHSSČKŠ3,0140.16
Total1,881,643100.001,963,877100.00
Valid votes1,881,64398.831,963,87795.65
Invalid/blank votes22,2181.1789,4154.35
Total votes1,903,861100.002,053,292100.00
Registered voters/turnout3,719,74151.183,734,11554.99
Source: Izbori

By county

[edit]

First round

[edit]
County Electorate Total
votes 		Turnout Babić Đapić Grabar-Kitarović Juričan Kovač Milanović Kolakušić Orešković Peović Pernar Škoro
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Bjelovar-Bilogora 96,483 48,448 50.21% 64 0.13 74 0.15 12,863 26.54 1,159 2.39 903 1.86 13,272 27.39 2,812 5.80 1,078 2.22 391 0.80 1,203 2.48 14,180 29.26
Brod-Posavina 133,397 65,175 48.86% 35 0.05 147 0.22 19,863 30.47 1,438 2.20 500 0.76 13,374 20.51 3,985 6.11 1,075 1.64 385 0.59 1,704 2.61 21,805 33.45
Dubrovnik-Neretva 107,631 55,176 51.26% 54 0.09 137 0.24 20,237 36.83 2,219 4.02 376 0.68 14,232 25.78 2,687 4.86 1,206 2.18 458 0.82 1,205 2.18 11,320 20.51
Istria 185,670 88,014 47.40% 147 0.16 111 0.12 10,693 12.14 4,577 5.19 1,013 1.15 45,145 51.28 6,081 6.90 4,563 5.18 2,573 2.92 3,707 4.21 8,259 9.38
Karlovac 107,618 57,511 53.44% 70 0.12 133 0.23 19,283 33.52 1,584 2.75 393 0.68 16,249 28.25 2,616 4.54 1,418 2.46 465 0.80 1,153 2.00 13,498 23.46
Koprivnica-Križevci 93,108 46,627 50.08% 65 0.13 78 0.16 12,307 26.39 1,439 3.08 481 1.03 14,593 31.29 2,872 6.15 1,311 2.81 364 0.78 1,304 2.79 11,341 24.32
Krapina-Zagorje 108,400 54,777 50.53% 656 1.19 67 0.12 14,698 26.82 1,860 3.39 469 0.85 19,482 35.56 3,556 6.49 1,667 3.04 370 0.67 1,652 3.01 9,638 17.59
Lika-Senj 42,849 21,017 49.05% 30 0.14 74 0.35 9,102 43.30 399 1.89 129 0.61 4,403 20.94 869 4.13 451 2.14 143 0.68 323 1.53 4,830 22.97
Međimurje 95,840 48,227 50.32% 97 0.20 51 0.10 8,347 17.30 1,579 3.27 612 1.26 22,066 45.75 3,620 7.50 1,820 3.77 409 0.84 1,770 3.66 7,460 15.46
Osijek-Baranja 249,085 127,069 51.01% 85 0.06 491 0.38 33,980 26.73 3,460 2.72 901 0.70 27,710 21.80 7,272 5.72 2,642 2.07 1,030 0.81 2,808 2.20 45,266 35.61
Požega-Slavonia 64,044 35,754 55.83% 21 0.05 45 0.12 10,877 30.41 673 1.88 224 0.62 6,974 19.50 1,865 5.21 542 1.51 204 0.57 777 2.17 13,137 36.73
Primorje-Gorski Kotar 261,760 125,606 47.99% 208 0.16 252 0.20 27,964 22.25 6,402 5.09 1,341 1.06 49,193 39.15 8,808 7.01 6,745 5.36 2,784 2.21 3,198 2.54 17,310 13.77
Sisak-Moslavina 141,335 67,191 47.54% 80 0.11 132 0.19 20,423 30.39 1,945 2.89 732 1.08 17,790 26.47 3,531 5.25 1,358 2.02 515 0.76 1,600 2.38 18,278 27.19
Split-Dalmatia 404,750 198,359 49.01% 155 0.07 558 0.28 64,221 32.36 9,636 4.85 1,316 0.66 48,953 24.67 10,475 5.27 4,000 2.01 2,029 1.02 3,753 1.89 50,338 25.36
Šibenik-Knin 97,235 43,709 44.95% 45 0.10 133 0.30 15,746 36.01 1,675 3.83 305 0.69 11,156 25.51 2,397 5.48 908 2.07 393 0.89 947 2.16 9,387 21.47
Varaždin 145,506 75,626 51.97% 143 0.18 103 0.13 16,694 22.07 2,470 3.26 721 0.95 28,506 37.69 6,377 8.43 2,437 3.22 666 0.88 2,425 3.20 14,261 18.79
Virovitica-Podravina 69,520 38,129 54.85% 30 0.07 76 0.19 12,446 32.63 689 1.80 310 0.81 8,661 22.71 1,899 4.97 661 1.73 186 0.48 878 2.30 11,882 31.15
Vukovar-Syrmia 146,958 68,671 46.73% 62 0.09 171 0.24 20,849 30.35 1,412 2.05 965 1.40 13,159 19.15 3,342 4.86 1,048 1.52 589 0.85 1,609 2.34 24,566 35.76
Zadar 160,257 71,587 44.67% 100 0.13 190 0.26 26,341 36.79 2,845 3.97 560 0.78 17,780 24.83 3,666 5.12 1,963 2.74 663 0.92 1,591 2.22 14,881 20.78
Zagreb County 273,405 144,738 52.94% 288 0.19 261 0.18 34,854 24.07 6,937 4.79 1,400 0.96 41,579 28.72 9,792 6.76 4,452 3.07 1,146 0.79 3,636 2.51 38,870 26.84
City of Zagreb 693,899 381,668 55.00% 566 0.14 612 0.16 73,958 19.36 33,145 8.67 4,377 1.14 126,142 33.02 22,688 5.93 13,616 3.56 5,413 1.41 6,323 1.65 90,890 23.79
Voting abroad — 40,774 — 13 0.03 105 0.25 21,790 53.43 339 0.83 79 0.19 2,360 5.78 706 1.73 202 0.49 211 0.51 491 1.20 14,351 35.18
TOTAL 3,719,532 1,903,853 51.19% 3,014 0.15 4,001 0.21 507,626 26.65 87,882 4.61 18,107 0.95 562,779 29.55 111,916 5.87 55,163 2.89 21,387 1.12 44,057 2.31 465,703 24.45
Source: Izbori

Second round

[edit]
County Electorate Total
votes 		Turnout Milanović Grabar-Kitarović
Votes % Votes %
Bjelovar-Bilogora 96,509 51,452 53.32% 25,398 51.6 23,820 48.4
Brod-Posavina 133,461 66,387 49.74% 26,657 42.4 36,230 57.6
Dubrovnik-Neretva 107,714 58,465 54.29% 24,219 43.5 31,477 56.5
Istria 185,675 98,089 52.81% 76,946 80.8 18,247 19.2
Karlovac 107,840 63,224 58.64% 28,397 46.7 32,386 53.3
Koprivnica-Križevci 93,167 50,096 53.78% 27,076 56.4 20,904 43.6
Krapina-Zagorje 108,452 61,958 57.13% 35,936 60.1 23,821 39.9
Lika-Senj 42,867 23,306 54.37% 8,167 36.2 14,374 63.8
Međimurje 95,914 54,666 57.00% 39,574 74.4 13,601 25.6
Osijek-Baranja 249,283 129,349 51.90% 56,428 45.8 66,577 54.1
Požega-Slavonia 64,093 35,556 55.48% 14,412 43.2 18,995 56.8
Primorje-Gorski Kotar 261,902 135,820 51.88% 84,856 64.9 45,831 35.1
Sisak-Moslavina 141,362 73,367 51.91% 32,937 47.0 37,174 53.0
Split-Dalmatia 405,173 219,897 54.29% 87,503 41.8 121,975 58.2
Šibenik-Knin 97,305 50,451 51.86% 20,753 42.8 27,864 57.2
Varaždin 145,596 84,174 57.82% 54,024 66.6 27,042 33.4
Virovitica-Podravina 69,548 38,839 55.85% 17,432 47.1 19,548 52.9
Vukovar-Syrmia 146,989 70,371 47.88% 26,722 40.1 39,984 59.9
Zadar 160,441 81,460 50.78% 33,622 43.1 44,471 56.9
Zagreb County 273,722 153,231 56.09% 79,499 54.5 66,349 45.5
City of Zagreb 694,639 400,763 57.73% 227,609 59.7 153,687 40.3
Voting abroad — 52,373 — 6,222 12.1 45,311 87.9
TOTAL 3,734,115 2,053,292 55.00% 1,034,389 52.7 929,488 47.3
Source: Izbori

Maps

[edit]

First round

[edit]
  • First-place candidate in the first round of the election in each municipality.
    First-place candidate in the first round of the election in each municipality.
  • First round results by municipality, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote.
    First round results by municipality, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote.
  • First round results by settlement, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote.
    First round results by settlement, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote.

Second round

[edit]
  • First-place candidate in the 2nd round of the election in each municipality.
    First-place candidate in the 2nd round of the election in each municipality.
  • 2nd round results by municipality, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote.
    2nd round results by municipality, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote.

Voter demographics

[edit]

Ipsos Puls exit polls for the first round of the election suggested the following demographic breakdown:

First round demographic breakdown[73]
Demographic Milanović Grabar-Kitarović Škoro
Total vote 29.6 26.7 24.5
Gender
Male 27.2 24.7 26.5
Female 30.3 24.4 23.2
Age
18–29 15.8 18.2 31.9
30–44 24.8 20.3 24.2
45–59 28.3 26.7 25.7
60+ 40.5 29.6 19.8
Education
Primary 21.4 40.1 26.9
Secondary 28.4 24.3 27.2
College degree 31.8 19.9 20
Political party[74]
HDZ 3.1 63 26.8
SDP 77.2 1.8 6.4
Most 9.4 5.6 45.4
ŽZ 8.5 1.5 24.9
BM 365 12.5 18.1 36.5
Other parties 12 5.8 38.8

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^
    Grabar-Kitarović was elected to office as the official candidate of the Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) in the 2014–2015 election, but is legally prohibited by Article 96 of the Constitution from holding any party membership for the entire duration of her term.[75] Thus, although not a member of a political party, she has been nominated by the Croatian Democratic Union and three other parties to be their candidate in the 2019–2020 election.[8]
  1. ^ a b c d Grabar-Kitarović was elected in the 2014–2015 election as the candidate of the HDZ. However, under Article 96 of the Constitution of Croatia, sitting presidents are prohibited from holding party memberships for the duration of their term. As a result, she stood as an independent candidate, albeit with informal HDZ affiliation.[1]

References

[edit]
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  5. ^ Kolinda prisegnula za prvu predsjednicu Hrvatske Archived 2016-11-27 at the Wayback Machine HRT, 15 February 2015 (in Croatian)
  6. ^ Važniji propisi Archived 2016-12-13 at the Wayback Machine Croatian Parliament (in Croatian)
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  24. ^ "Predsjedništvo SDP-a jednoglasno potvrdilo Milanovića za predsjedničkog kandidata; Objavio i slogan kojim će krenuti u kampanju, očito će svoj glavni nedostatak pokušati pretvoriti u svoju glavnu prednost" [Presidency of the Social Democratic Party unanimously confirms Milanović as presidential candidate; He also announced the slogan with which he will enter the campaign, obviously he will try to turn his main flaw into an advantage] (in Croatian). Slobodna Dalmacija. 17 June 2019. Retrieved 17 June 2019.
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  32. ^ https://net.hr/danas/hrvatska/bivsi-zivozidas-ide-dalje-ivan-pernar-osnovat-ce-stranku-ivana-pernara-i-ici-na-predsjednicke-izbore/ Net.hr, 7 June 2019
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  34. ^ "Pernar predao oko 15 tisuća potpisa i otkrio pod kojim sloganom ide u kampanju; U Saboru se pojavio i samozvani 'Kralj svih Hrvata Svijeta u Sjeni, od 1993. do 2993.'". slobodnadalmacija.hr. 3 December 2019. Retrieved 4 December 2019.
  35. ^ "Hrvatski suverenisti podržali Škoru: Na sva naša pitanja odgovorio je pozitivno". 26 June 2019. Archived from the original on 26 June 2019. Retrieved 26 June 2019.
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  75. ^ "Konačno i službeno: Grabar Kitarović je pobjednica izbora". tportal.hr. 10 February 2015.
[edit]
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